Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AIOZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.576305 0.674369 0.782171 0.909213 1.054564 1.215390 1.406529
2025-01-05 0.417343 0.547441 0.705268 0.909629 1.165914 1.475238 1.875246
2025-01-12 0.314125 0.458682 0.650823 0.921871 1.290782 1.771243 2.439400
2025-01-19 0.245087 0.395539 0.613100 0.944786 1.430361 2.106350 3.107292
2025-01-26 0.193329 0.342845 0.576699 0.959516 1.558018 2.442056 3.825152
2025-02-02 0.167687 0.323399 0.584372 1.038804 1.790391 2.957535 4.869574
2025-02-09 0.138006 0.289124 0.560084 1.060847 1.934611 3.356910 5.789055
2025-02-16 0.110269 0.250741 0.519835 1.046636 2.014087 3.660587 6.591567
2025-02-23 0.084329 0.208492 0.462791 0.990083 2.008554 3.818866 7.169236
2025-03-02 0.069333 0.184972 0.436504 0.985424 2.093791 4.139913 8.056156
2025-03-09 0.055102 0.158953 0.399094 0.950794 2.115058 4.346104 8.759101
2025-03-16 0.042237 0.132186 0.353734 0.890116 2.073651 4.427926 9.239381
2025-03-23 0.035618 0.120227 0.341057 0.901780 2.189610 4.838085 10.409751
2025-03-30 0.029935 0.109084 0.328032 0.910873 2.303282 5.261343 11.661327
2025-04-06 0.025542 0.100304 0.319064 0.928329 2.439237 5.748607 13.098988
2025-04-13 0.022155 0.093525 0.313899 0.954524 2.599932 6.308113 14.747241
2025-04-20 0.019004 0.086325 0.305723 0.971263 2.740836 6.841740 16.398601
2025-04-27 0.017981 0.086623 0.320121 1.052606 3.053576 7.792463 19.040595
2025-05-04 0.015661 0.080895 0.314276 1.075623 3.221642 8.432706 21.064666
2025-05-11 0.012975 0.072394 0.297034 1.061645 3.290791 8.850383 22.632509
2025-05-18 0.010077 0.061391 0.267833 1.004591 3.234175 8.960642 23.508343
2025-05-25 0.008483 0.055726 0.256063 1.000005 3.322273 9.433359 25.273926
2025-06-01 0.006799 0.048590 0.236431 0.964989 3.317250 9.671767 26.503914